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| - | ='''Introduction'''= | + | __NOTOC__ |
| + | ==Welcome to the Crop Monitoring Box documentation== | ||
| + | ------------------------------------ | ||
| + | ===1. Introduction=== | ||
| - | ==The raison d'être of the crop forecasting and crop forecasting methods.==. | + | [[Chapter1|1.1.]] General introduction to crop forecasting and its methods. |
| + | [[Chapter2|1.2.]] Crop forecasting philosophy of FAO, an overview. | ||
| - | [[Chapter1|==The "raison d'être" of the crop forecasting and crop forecasting methods.==]]. | + | [[Chapter3|1.3.]] The principles of crop modelling and their implementation in the CMBox. |
| - | '''[[Chapter2|Chapter 2]].''' Overview of FAO food security work. Presentation of the overall crop forecasting philosophy adopted by FAO | + | [[Chapter5|1.4.]] Crop yield forecasting with water balance calculations. |
| - | '''[[Chapter3|Chapter 3]].''' Introduction into the principles of crop modelling and their implementation in the CMBox. The principle of indicators like ETa and the WSI index. | + | [[Chapter6|1.5.]] Introduction to CMBox software, data formats and GIS. |
| - | '''[[Chapter5|Chapter 4]].''' Potential Evapotranspiration (PET) and its role in the calculation of crop water budgets and crop forecasting | + | ===2. A crop monitoring network === |
| - | '''[[Chapter4|Chapter 5]].''' Introduction to Remote Sensing (CCD and NDVI) and its role in crop forecasting | + | [[Chapter7|2.1.]] The two basic modelling options: grid-based and station-based |
| - | '''[[Chapter6|Chapter 6]].''' Introduction to GIS and data formats. | + | [[Chapter8|2.2.]] Setting up a monitoring network. |
| - | </blockquote> | + | |
| - | <blockquote> | + | [[Chapter9|2.3.]] Selection of a reference period. |
| - | ='''Gathering data and getting them right. '''= | + | ===3. Gathering and calculating weather data === |
| - | '''[[Chapter7|Chapter 7]].''' The two basic modelling options: grid-based and station-based monitoring | + | [[Chapter10|3.1]]. Entering and importing normal and actual weather data. |
| - | '''[[Chapter8|Chapter 8]].''' Setting up a monitoring network. | + | [[Chapter11|3.2]]. Computing the reference evapotranspiration ET<sub>0</sub>. |
| - | '''[[Chapter9|Chapter 9]].''' Selection of reference periods. | + | [[Chapter12|3.3]]. Preparing and using the dekadal rainfall and ET<sub>0</sub> database for crop monitoring |
| - | '''[[Chapter10|Chapter 10]].''' Entering and importing weather data. | + | ===4. Gathering and calculating crop data === |
| - | '''[[Chapter11|Chapter 11]].''' Development of ET<sub>0</sub> computation procedure. | + | [[Chapter15|4.1]]. Defining cropping practices and conditions and preparation of polygons for main crop growing areas in the country. |
| - | '''[[Chapter12|Chapter 12]].''' Preparation of ten-daily rainfall and ET<sub>0</sub> records for crop forecasting | + | [[Chapter14|4.2]]. Analysis of time series of climate and crops to identify trends. Detrending yield. |
| - | '''[[Chapter13|Chapter 13]].''' Introduction to Geostatistics and the spatial interpolation of agroclimatic and other variables. (includes LocClim) .... | + | ===5. Techniques to use when data are unavailable=== |
| - | '''[[Chapter14|Chapter 14]].''' Analysis of time series of climate and crops to identify trends, if they are present. Construction of detrended crop yield time series. | + | [[Chapter13|5.1]]. Introduction to Geostatistics and the spatial interpolation of weather and crop data. |
| - | '''[[Chapter15|Chapter 15]].''' Preparation of polygons for main crop growing areas in the country and define cropping practices and conditions. | + | [[Chapter33|5.2]]. Filling gaps in agricultural statistics. |
| - | ='''Running the FAO water balance model '''= | + | ===6. The FAO water balance model and its crop forecasting indicators=== |
| - | '''[[Chapter18|Chapter 16]].''' Crops that can be monitored, including specific crops like irrigated crops. | + | [[Chapter18|6.1.]] The FAO Water Balance Model. Monitoring crops. |
| - | '''[[Chapter19|Chapter 17]].''' Read all data prepared above into the AgroMetShell crop simulation software (AMS) | + | [[Chapter19|6.2.]] Gathering all data into the FAO AgroMetShell crop simulation software. |
| - | '''[[Chapter20|Chapter 18]].''' Run AMS for the historical time period, extract average water balance parameters over main crop growing areas | + | [[Chapter20|6.3.]] Run the Water Balance model. Understanding the output of the model. |
| - | '''[[Chapter21|Chapter 19]].''' Practical introduction to multiple regression techniques and the selection of variables through a principal components analysis | + | ===7. From water balance indicators to yield estimates=== |
| - | '''[[Chapter22|Chapter 20]].''' Calibrate crop yields against water balance outputs and other variables against and validate the coefficients. | + | [[Chapter22|7.1]]. Calibrate crop yields against water balance outputs and other variables. |
| - | '''[[Chapter23|Chapter 21]].''' Using equations derived under 19) above, compute crop yield maps and derive tables of agricultural statistics from the maps (the forecasts). | + | [[Chapter23|7.2]]. Considerations when computing crop yield maps and create forecasts. |
| - | ='''Using satellite imagery'''= | + | ===8. Independent indicators=== |
| - | '''[[Chapter16|Chapter 22]].''' Development of a standard procedure to define actual phenology (in particular crop planting date), based on local practice and satellite imagery | + | [[Chapter21|8.1]]. Examples of other weather based indicators. |
| - | '''[[Chapter17|Chapter 23]].''' Extract Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) images for the country from the global data | + | [[Chapter4|8.2.]] Remote Sensing and its role in crop forecasting. |
| - | ='''Data and information dissemination'''= | + | ===9. Data and information dissemination=== |
| - | '''[[Chapter23|Chapter 24]].''' Using other monitoring products in crop forecasting | + | [[Chapter24|9.1]]. Prepare write-up of products for crop monitoring bulletins |
| - | '''[[Chapter24|Chapter 25]].''' Prepare write-up of the products above as inputs to national crop monitoring bulletins | + | [[Chapter44|9.2]]. Outline of a Weather Impact Bulletin |
| - | ='''Setting up a crop monitoring system'''= | + | ===10. Setting up a crop monitoring system=== |
| - | '''[[Chapter27|Chapter 26]].''' Intoduction | + | [[Chapter27|10.1]]. Introduction |
| - | '''[[Chapter25|Chapter 27]].''' Resources required | + | [[Chapter25|10.2]]. Resources required |
| - | '''[[Chapter26|Chapter 28]].''' Where to get assistance | + | [[Chapter26|10.3]]. How to get assistance |
| + | [[Glossary|Glossary]] | ||
| - | '''[[Glossary|Glossary]]''' | ||
| + | ------------------------------------ | ||
| </blockquote> | </blockquote> | ||
Current revision
[edit]Welcome to the Crop Monitoring Box documentation
[edit]1. Introduction
1.1. General introduction to crop forecasting and its methods.
1.2. Crop forecasting philosophy of FAO, an overview.
1.3. The principles of crop modelling and their implementation in the CMBox.
1.4. Crop yield forecasting with water balance calculations.
1.5. Introduction to CMBox software, data formats and GIS.
[edit]2. A crop monitoring network
2.1. The two basic modelling options: grid-based and station-based
2.2. Setting up a monitoring network.
2.3. Selection of a reference period.
[edit]3. Gathering and calculating weather data
3.1. Entering and importing normal and actual weather data.
3.2. Computing the reference evapotranspiration ET0.
3.3. Preparing and using the dekadal rainfall and ET0 database for crop monitoring
[edit]4. Gathering and calculating crop data
4.1. Defining cropping practices and conditions and preparation of polygons for main crop growing areas in the country.
4.2. Analysis of time series of climate and crops to identify trends. Detrending yield.
[edit]5. Techniques to use when data are unavailable
5.1. Introduction to Geostatistics and the spatial interpolation of weather and crop data.
5.2. Filling gaps in agricultural statistics.
[edit]6. The FAO water balance model and its crop forecasting indicators
6.1. The FAO Water Balance Model. Monitoring crops.
6.2. Gathering all data into the FAO AgroMetShell crop simulation software.
6.3. Run the Water Balance model. Understanding the output of the model.
[edit]7. From water balance indicators to yield estimates
7.1. Calibrate crop yields against water balance outputs and other variables.
7.2. Considerations when computing crop yield maps and create forecasts.
[edit]8. Independent indicators
8.1. Examples of other weather based indicators.
8.2. Remote Sensing and its role in crop forecasting.
[edit]9. Data and information dissemination
9.1. Prepare write-up of products for crop monitoring bulletins
9.2. Outline of a Weather Impact Bulletin
[edit]10. Setting up a crop monitoring system
10.1. Introduction
10.2. Resources required
10.3. How to get assistance